Not a named storm yet as of 5:00 p.m. Wednesday. Good chance that late in the day Thursday Tropical Storm Fay will be well north of the Outer Banks.

Not a named storm yet as of 5:00 p.m. Wednesday. Good chance that late in the day Thursday Tropical Storm Fay will be well north of the Outer Banks.

Maybe Tropical Storm Fay will become a reality or maybe she won’t. Chances are she will—80% of that happening according to the National Hurricane Center.

Right now what may someday be Tropical Storm Fay is a little north of Wilmington and sliding up coast. If the storm does manage to get its act together and get a circulation along the surface, which would make it a tropical system, it will be a day or so gone from the Outer Banks.

What we’ll have instead is a washout tomorrow. Not even much wind is forecast with the system, just a lot of rain.

As tropical systems go, this is as good as it gets.

Slow Start to the Season

It has been fairly quiet in the Atlantic Ocean this year when it comes to storms. Much of that was a gigantic dust plume that blew off the Sahara Desert. It dried the upper air out and gave us some spectacular sunsets.

It’s more than a week gone now, but we still haven’t seen much development in either the Atlantic Ocean or the Gulf of Mexico.

This latest maybe storm did originate in the Gulf as a small low pressure system, tracked across Florida and started tracking up the coast yesterday. It’s interesting act the NHC identified the blob of rain in the Gulf last week as a potential Atlantic storm days before it emerged around Charleston, SC.

It’s a tribute to how effective the model have gotten that the scientists at the NHC can make a prediction that effectively and that early. That science comes with a caveat, of course. Within two day, the forecasts can usually predict the path within 75 miles. That’s pretty remarkable. However, those of us who’ve experienced tropical storms can attest to the fact that 75 miles can make a huge difference in what you experience.

Right now and for the next week or so, after Thursday passes, the Outer Banks weather is looking pretty good for a while. Check out our Brindley Beach Vacations homes and join its on the Outer Banks.